Friday, September 13, 2013

The text of the study conducted by YEF on the Electricity Sector in Lebanon and our comments thereof

Electricity Sector in Lebanon 
 Under a 2100 MW Spotlight

The case of Electricité du Liban (EDL) has once again sparked much controversy regarding public administration management in Lebanon. EDL faces two major challenges:

1. The Lebanese public needs electricity 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. This is a fundamental element of modern 21st century infrastructure that is still lacking in Lebanon 20 years after the end of the civil war.

2. The social condition of a great portion of the public workers, namely the daily paid workers hired by private companies on behalf of EDL, launched an unprecedented strike to demand full time employment within the cadre of public administration in EDL.

Because of poor decisions made in the past, EDL is struggling today on its path towards modernizing the electricity sector. Meeting both challenges currently requires many compromises that will generate mixed results amongst all key stakeholders.

The deteriorating situation of EDL

It is nothing new that EDL, a company with a crucial role, has not been able to meet minimal operational standards. EDL has a nominal installed power supply capacity of 2100 MW. Available net thermal capacity however has varied from as low as 1600MW (and sometimes lower) to a maximum of 2000 MW due to shortcomings such as restoration requirements, plant failures, fuel supply problems, and external hostilities. This highly falls short of peak demand for
electricity that was at least 2600 MW in 2006 (including electricity demand used for generation itself), and is expected to grow between 4% and 6% annually over the period 2008–2015 (ElFadel, Hammond, Harajli, Jones, Kabakian, & Winnett, 2009).

Hence, blackouts have become standard procedure and reach 13 hours per day in some areas(Dagher & Ruble, 2011).
Blackouts led to an increase in dependency on off-grid distributed generators with consumers paying a huge bill to cover both the utility bill and standby generators, the latter costing twice the price of public electricity (Dagher & Ruble, 2011). Self-generation supplies 33 to 38% of electricity consumption (Hamdan, Ghajar, & Chedid, 2012) causing a high import bill given that 93% of fuel and diesel oil used is imported (Dagher & Ruble, 2011).

In addition to the costs incurred by the Lebanese consumers, transfers to EDL cripple the public treasury. In 2011, transfers totaled more than $1.75 billion, a 46% increase from 2010 and equivalent to more than 20% of national revenue or 4% of national GDP (Ministry of Finance, 2012). Today, EDL’s financial deficit amounts to a total of $11 billion before interest, and $13billion after interest (National News Agency, 2012). Despite these financial investments, system
losses are equivalent to 40% worth of electricity produced by EDL, at approximately $310 million every year (Bassil, 2010).

The inefficiency of the electricity sector has reduced GDP growth since 1993 by an annual 1.5% (Bassil, 2010). With 100% electrification in Lebanon and a forecasted increase in annual electricity demand, Lebanon will need to both optimize the current electricity system and build up to 8 new 600 MW power plants by 2030. This amounts to 1 power plant every 2.25 years if Lebanon adopts centralized supply-side solutions only. Many experts have deemed this unfeasible with the current status of the Lebanese economy (El-Fadel, Hammond, Harajli, Jones, Kabakian, & Winnett, 2009).

Plans for reform

In light of this situation, Electricity Law 462 of 2002 paved way for private sector participation by allowing up to 40% of the shares in generation plant and distribution networks to be privatized (Bassil, 2010). But the National Electricity Regulatory Authority that would have the sole right to license independent power producers is yet to be established (Hamdan, Ghajar, & Chedid, 2012).
In 2010, the Ministry of Energy and Water (MoEW), under Minister Gebran Bassil, published a four-year plan to implement supply-side reform (introducing additional conventional energy sources) and demand-side reform (reducing demand for electricity to curb load growth). These reforms were intended to reduce total losses from $4.4 billion in 2010 to $0 in 2014, with potential for profit after. It was expected that by 2014, a solid power sector would have at least
4000 MW in generation capacity. This would cost a total $4.87 billion ($1.55 billion financed by the Lebanese government, $2.32 billion by private sector, $1 billion by international donors). With an additional investment of $1.65 billion, generation capacity may increase to 5000 MW by 2015 (Bassil, 2010).

Currently, it seems these targets are far fetched. However, EDL has taken some steps to begin the implementation of this plan by hiring 3 private companies (Butec Utility Services, Debbas, Khatib & Alami) in a $780 million, four-year contract. These companies are providing services that include electronic billing and tracking, introducing easy payment plans, offering discounted rates during certain hours, and instituting a solid inspection and monitoring scheme. This is expected to increase EDL revenue by more than $300 million per year and assets by $380 million by the end of the project (National News Agency, 2012)

Daily paid employees at EDL

Human capital within EDL is one of the key points of reform. Currently, EDL has an organizational chart incorporating positions) with an average age of 53 and yearly attrition rate of 8%. With an ongoing freeze in public sector hiring since 1990, EDL compensates for the understaffing by employing approximately 2,000 persons on short-term contracts(Bassil, 2010).The performance of these employees, under EDL and private sector administration, has been poor to say the least. In 2000, labor productivity in Lebanon’s electricity sector reached 2.3 GWh per employee, well below theinternational benchmark of 8.23 GWh per employee (El-Fadel, Hammond, Harajli, Jones, Kabakian, & Winnett, 2009). Moreover, annual waste due to uncollected bills reached 5% worth of the total electricity generated (Bassil, 2010), or $310 million per year (As-Safir, 2012).

That said, private firms hired by EDL are restructuring the administration by offering a portion of the 2,000 daily paid employees full-time jobs with a starting salary of $700 and NSSF overage after a 3-month probation period. This, however, does not meet the expectations of daily paid workers under the auspices that the company signed a four-year contract and, therefore, their job security is not permanent and salary increases are not guaranteed (Darwiche & Abeer, 2012).

The daily paid workers at EDL protested for 96 days against the administrative reform that does not guarantee them employment security. Despite terminating the strike as of 3 August 2012 as the private firm claims that 450 workers already signed full time contracts, promises by Minister Bassil fall short of meeting the workers’ demands of full time employment at EDL. Minister Bassil’s promises include the following (Zaki, 2012):

1. EDL will pay all outstanding salaries until July 2012 starting August 6, 2012
2. EDL daily paid workers will maintain their right to compensation for all their years of work
3. EDL daily paid workers will maintain the right to take examination (despite the deadline being July 1)
4. EDL daily paid workers will be offered a limited number of full time jobs based on the need at EDL with benefits as per the labor law
5. EDL will conduct examinations to determine those who will be offered full time positions
6. A committee comprising of the Minister of Labor, a representative from the Labor Union, and representative from the Amal and Hizbullah parties, will work on making adjustments to the labor law and ensure its proper execution

The electrifying trade-off

On the one hand, a low daily pay rate of approximately LBP 28,000 with no benefits (Kbeissy, 2012), many employees succumbed to the temptation for corruption and theft causing many losses to the national budget. Moreover, the relatively old age of the vast majority makes difficult the modernization of the sector, in addition to the prospects of retirement that will cause an operational gap.

Therefore, when considering the introduction of sustainable reform to the system, EDL may need a solution other than offering the daily paid workers with full-time jobs. On the other hand, the Lebanese government made no effort to increase awareness amongst the employees on the long-term impact of their current work status. While serving public interest, the administration must have made it clear that lack of social security would have put the employees at risk of poverty after retirement. Moreover, the category of daily paid workers, mentioned only once in all labor laws, became a tool for cheap labor adopted by, not only the EDL, but also many\ other public institutions, private firms, and non-governmental organizations.

This continues to generate corruption as near zero incentive exists for adhering to the law.This controversy highlights the importance of proper governance when dealing with public administration. Serving public interest involves a long-term vision that must ensure civil servants’ job security and dignified post-retirement livelihood in order to avert temptation for corruption. Moreover, computerized systems must be adopted in order to minimize possibility
for corruption, by management and employees alike. It is essential that national revenue be not misused so that the allocation of funds towards social security and job creation in many other missing sectors in Lebanon is made possible.

References

 Retrieved July.ﺗﻘﺮﯾﺮ ﻋﻦ ﻛﮭﺮﺑﺎء ﻟﺒﻨﺎن: ﻓﻮاﺗﯿﺮ ﻣﻔﻘﻮدة ﺑﺎﻟﻤﻠﯿﺎرات وﻋﺪم ﺟﺪﯾﺔاﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ .(As-Safir. (2012, July 23
23, 2012, from AsSafir: http://www.assafir.com/article.aspx?EditionId=2210&ChannelId=52984&ArticleId=2287
Bassil, G. (2010). Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector. Ministry of Energy and Water. Beirut:
Lebanese Republic.
Dagher, L., & Ruble, I. (2011, April 4). Modeling Lebanon’s electricity sector: Alternative
scenarios and their implications. Energy 36 , 4315-4326.
Darwiche, & Abeer. (2012, June 29). Private firms invite EDL part-timers to sign
contracts.Retrieved July 29, 2012, from Business
News:http://www.businessnews.com.lb/cms/Story/StoryDetails.aspx
El-Fadel, R., Hammond, G., Harajli, H., Jones, C., Kabakian, V., & Winnett, A. (2009, October
3). The Lebanese electricity system in the context of sustainable development.Energy Policy 38 ,
751–761.
Hamdan, H., Ghajar, R., & Chedid, R. (2012). A simulation model for reliability-based appraisal
of an energy policy: The case of Lebanon . Energy Policy 45 , 293–303.
اﻟﺪوﻟﺔﺗﺨﺮق ﻗﻮاﻧﯿﻨﮭﺎ: آﻻف اﻟﻤﯿﺎوﻣﻮن ﻓﻲ اﻟﻤﺆﺳﺴﺎت واﻹدارات اﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔﻣﻦ دون ﺣﻘﻮق .(K
Retrieved July 30, 2012, from Al Marsad:
http://lebaneselw.com/index.php?option=com_flexicontent&view=items&cid=161&id=8207&It
emid=42&lang=ar
Ministry of Finance. (2012). Public Finance Annual Review 2011. Republic of Lebanon. Beirut:
Ministry of Finance.
National News Agency. (2012, June 20). اﻟﻜﮭﺮﺑﺎء ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ ﺧﺪﻣﺎت ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻲ ﻣﺸﺮوع ﻋﻦ ﻣﺆﺗﻤﺮ.Retrieved July
29, 2012, from National News Agency: http://www.nnaleb.gov.lb/print.aspx?id=416845&lang=JOU
Zaki, R. A. (2012, August 4). ﺑﺎﺳﯿﻞ ﻣﺸﺮوع اﻟﻰ ﻋﻮدة :ﻧﻘﻄﺔاﻟﺼﻔﺮ اﻟﻰ اﻟﻤﯿﺎوﻣﻮن! Al Akhbar. Retrieved
August 4, 2012, from Al Akhbar: http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/99402
Youth Economic Forum

Policy Position Paper6 August 2012 Contributors: Nermine Chatila, Meer Ako, Iskandar Boustany

Sunday, August 18, 2013

A quand la Reforme et le Changement? The Time Table of the Energy Policy (2010-2015)

18/08/2013

A quand la Reforme et le Changement ?


Monsieur le Ministre Gebran Bassil,
Quatre années se sont écoulées depuis que vous avez publie les vingt quatre initiatives de votre “Politique de l’Energie”. Ne pensez-vous pas qu’il est temps de vous assoir avec les citoyens pour leur décrire, dans les détails, la portion accomplie de chacun de ces programmes que vous aviez, au départ, si admirablement développés ?
Ces citoyens auxquels vous ne cessez de promettre la Reforme et le Changement ne sont-ils pas en droit de vous demander de rendre compte de votre gestion au Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources Hydrauliques ?
En fait, ils auraient du le faire des le premier mois qui suivit votre prise en charge et ils sont, sans équivoque, coupables d’avoir néglige de s’être prévalus de ce droit inaliénable.
A présent que le pays est au bord du gouffre, nous estimons que ces citoyens devraient enfin se réveiller de leur longue léthargie pour vous demander laquelle des vingt quatre initiatives précitées a été partiellement ou totalement exécutée et pourquoi les autres n’ont-elles pu voir le jour ?
Que s’est-il passe exactement durant ces quatre longues années? Quelles sont les véritables causes de ce stupéfiant immobilisme ?
Tant que nos Ministres estimeront qu’ils n’ont de comptes à rendre a quiconque, ce pays ne pourra pas avancer. Mais pire, une telle attitude ne servirait qu’a confirmer les dires de certains qu’il « n’y a pas d’Etat et de démocratie au Liban. ». Est-ce ceci en définitive que l’on essaye de prouver, et dans quel but cache, le ferait-on ?
Mettez, une fois pour toutes, cartes sur tables, Monsieur le Ministre, et dites nous franchement ce qui s’est passe au Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources Hydrauliques, et pourquoi si peu a été accompli durant ces cinq mille quatre cent soixante jours ?
Votre Excellence, nous attendons votre réponse détaillée à votre plus proche convenance.
Un citoyen en colère.